System Dynamics | LowGrow SFC

A simulation model of the Canadian economy

LowGrow SFC is a system dynamics model developed by Tim Jackson and Peter Victor, incorporating many features developed over several years. LowGrow SFC brings together: 1) the environmental and resource constraints on economic activity; 2) a full account of production, consumption, employment and public finances in the ‘real economy’ at the level of the nation state; 3) a comprehensive account of the financial economy, including the main interactions between financial agents.

LowGrow SFC is ‘stock-flow consistent’. this means that expenditures by each sector are incomes of other sectors and financial assets of each sector are financial liabilities of other sectors, and vice versa. The 6 sectors in LowGrow SFC are: households, non-financial firms, financial firms, the central bank, government, and the rest of the world. Interactions within and between these spheres of interest are modelled using a system dynamics framework and used to generate scenarios for Canada.

Run LowGrow SFC

Interested readers can explore the implications for themselves in the online beta version of LowGrow SFC.

LowGrow SFC is part of a suite of system dynamics models developed by Tim Jackson and Peter Victor, including SIGMAwhich addresses the key challenge of inequality in the context of declining growth rates; and FALSTAFFwhich explores the financial and economic dimensions of a post-growth economy.

Further Reading

Jackson, T 2018: The Post-Growth Challenge: Secular Stagnation, Inequality and the Limits to Growth. CUSP Working Paper No 12. Guildford: University of Surrey.

Jackson, T and P Victor 2018: Confronting inequality in a post-growth world – basic income, factor substitution and the future of work. CUSP Working Paper No 11. Guildford: University of Surrey.

Jackson, T and P Victor 2016. Does slow growth lead to rising inequality? Some theoretical reflections and numerical simulations. Ecological Economics, Vol 121, pp. 206–219.

Jackson, T, Victor, P and A Asjad Naqvi 2016.PDFTowards a Stock – Flow Consistent Ecological Macroeconomics. WWW for Europe: Work Package  205, Milestone 40 “Report on model results including additional policies to  counter averse effects”. Working Paper no  114.

Jackson, T and P Victor 2015. Does slow growth lead to rising inequality? – A stock-flow consistent exploration of the ‘Piketty hypothesis’.PASSAGE Working Paper 15/03.